Demand Forecaster/Planner

2 days left

Location
Clearwater, Florida (US)
Salary
$63,401 to $104,612 (actual salary will be commensurate with experience).
Posted
Aug 28, 2017
Closes
Sep 27, 2017
Career Level
Mid Career
Education Level
Masters
Job Type
Full-time
Relocation Cost
No Relocation
Sector Type
Government

As the largest wholesale drinking water supplier in the southeastern United States, Tampa Bay Water ultimately provides water to 2.4 million people in Hillsborough, Pasco and Pinellas counties and the cities of New Port Richey, St. Petersburg and Tampa. Our mission seems so simple—to reliably provide clean, safe water to the Tampa Bay region now and for future generations. In reality, it's a complex process that requires a dedicated, skilled staff to ensure a continuous flow of water to our customers. At Tampa Bay Water, we share a common set of values—safety, continuous improvement and innovation. We fulfill our mission in partnership with our stakeholders in a responsible, efficient and environmentally sustainable manner.  Our success is driven by people who thrive in our environment. If you share these values and meet the listed qualifications for this position, please visit www.tampabaywater.org to complete our application and submit your resume. Resumes submitted without a completed Application will not be considered.

We are seeking a Demand Forecaster/Planner. Under direction of the Planning & System Decision Support Manager performs functions of the agency involving short- and long-term water demand forecasting and analysis of water use, meteorological, and socio-economic data. The water demand planner/forecaster maintains and updates demand forecast databases, forecasting models, and participates in long-term water supply planning activities. This position also performs water use efficiency studies. Employees in this category have knowledge and understanding in the areas of time series modeling/forecasting, statistical analysis and interpretation, resource management, computer programming, uncertainty and risk analysis, and an advanced knowledge in utilizing relational databases and Geographic Information System for spatial-temporal data analysis and geocoding.

Performance is evaluated through periodic conferences, reports, and administrative review process. Performs related work as directed

ESSENTIAL FUNCTIONS:

  • Updates and maintains agency short-term (Optimized Regional Operation Plan Demand models) and long-term (econometric) demand forecast models and provide frequent forecasts and analyses for various agency departments. This includes the annual demand forecast update for budgeting as well as long-range deterministic and probabilistic projections for supply planning and infrastructure resiliency projects.
  • Compiles, analyzes, geocodes, and interprets extensive parcel level water use/billing data and land use projections by member government and water demand planning areas to assess regional water use growth trend and identify demand management opportunities.
  • Uses and interprets third party socio-economic data, with correlation to Agency water consumption data, to determine water use projections. Gather, analyze, and interpret data and prepare clear and concise written reports.
  • Conducts, analyze, and interprets temporal and spatial water use and market penetration data in support of end-use modeling and demand management programs.
  • Provides seasonal water delivery projections based on seasonal climate outlook as part of agency’s seasonal source allocation program.
  • Performs demand projection uncertainty analysis and provide technical advice and support for other departments throughout the Agency.
  • Participates in the Agency’s long-term water supply planning activities to include updating long-term demand forecasts, future need assessments, water supply alternative evaluations, and infrastructure sizing projects.
  • Performs water use efficiency studies to support long-term forecasts and water supply planning.
  • Report, document, and communicate methods of analysis, results, conclusions, and recommendations.
  • Identify research needed to support agency needs and write proposals defining scope, required resources, and benefits.
  • Develop and manage project time schedules, project budgets, technical resources, and reports.
  • Manage activities of professional consultants regarding assigned functions and projects under charge.
  • Respond to concerns/inquiries and provide general assistance to management and other agency staff.
  • Perform related work as directed

Disaster Service Worker:  Employees of Tampa Bay Water are, by State and Federal law, Disaster Service Workers. In the event of a declaration of emergency, any employee may be assigned activities that promote the protection of public health and safety or the preservation of lives and property, either at the Agency or within the local community or their own community.

MINIMUM TRAINING AND EXPERIENCE:

  • Minimum of five years’ relevant experience water demand forecasting and analysis of water use, meteorological, and socio-economic data.
  • Position requires knowledge in statistical analysis of large complex data, such as exploratory data analysis, system identification technique and time series forecast/projection, which are relevant to water resources system model conceptualization, design, development, and implementation.
  • Position requires knowledge in water demand modeling and forecasting techniques and interpretation of modeling results.
  • Position requires analytical and programing skills using scientific software, such as MATLAB, or similar, requires experience in databases with a preference using Structured Query Language (SQL) scripts and experience in working with spatial and temporal databases and in using Geographic Information System Software.
  • Strong and effective communication skills on broad and complex technical issues. 
  • Critical and creative thinking, and problem-solving skills are required.

EDUCATION REQUIRED:

  • Master’s degree in water resources engineering, economics, statistics, quantitative analysis, natural resources management or similar field required.

REQUIRED LICENSES AND CERTIFICATIONS:

  • Valid driver's license.
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